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Priority invasive alien plants in the Tuscan Archipelago (Italy): comparing the EPPO prioritization scheme with the Australian WRA

机译:托斯卡纳群岛(意大利)的优先入侵外来植物:将EPPO优先计划与澳大利亚WRA进行比较

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摘要

For the first time, we tested the European and Mediterranean Plant Protection Organization (EPPO) prioritization process (EPP) on 212 alien plant species thriving in the Tuscan Archipelago, Central Italy. We compared the results of the EPPO procedure with those of the Australian Weed Risk Assessment (A-WRA) system. The two methods were also tested against the categorization performed at the national and local level by a panel of experts. Our results suggest that both methods accurately predict the invasiveness of species already present in the Tuscan Archipelago. However, the total numbers of species included in the highest risk categories by the two methods differed greatly, with the EPPO prioritization process including fewer species in the highest risk class. The two methods differed in the ability to correctly detect the invasive species, with the A-WRA method being more conservative, but at cost of more species in the highest risk class. Using Generalized Linear Models, we showed that both methods suffer from some degree of dependence from one or more of the tested explanatory variables (life span, year of first record). The results suggest that the choice of a risk assessment method should be driven by the main aim of the assessment, i.e., distinguishing between a more predictive tool (A-WRA) and a prioritization tool (EPP) for already introduced species.
机译:我们首次对欧洲和地中海植物保护组织(EPPO)的优先排序过程(EPP)进行了测试,该过程对在意大利中部托斯卡纳群岛兴旺的212种外来植物物种进行了测试。我们将EPPO程序的结果与澳大利亚杂草风险评估(A-WRA)系统的结果进行了比较。专家组还对这两种方法在国家和地方级别进行的分类进行了测试。我们的结果表明,这两种方法都能准确预测托斯卡纳群岛中已经存在的物种的入侵性。但是,两种方法将最高风险类别中包括的物种总数相差很大,EPPO的优先排序过程中,最高风险类别中的物种较少。两种方法在正确检测入侵物种的能力方面有所不同,其中A-WRA方法较为保守,但代价是要获得更多处于最高风险类别的物种。使用广义线性模型,我们证明了这两种方法都受到一个或多个测试解释变量(寿命,首次记录年份)的某种程度的依赖。结果表明,风险评估方法的选择应受评估的主要目标驱动,即,对已经引入物种的更具预测性的工具(A-WRA)和优先排序工具(EPP)进行区分。

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