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On the assessment of uncertainty in risk diagrams

机译：关于风险图中不确定性的评估

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摘要

Risk matrices and risk diagrams are widely used tools for analyzing, assessing and visualizing risk in many industries, and are used extensively for risk management purposes. Despite their popularity and wide application, they have recently become the object of discussion and research in scientific environments, which can be seen as part of a wider focus on foundational issues in the risk analysis discipline. Identifying several serious limitations and problems with the risk matrix approach, various authors have proposed extensions, modifications and recommendations for their use. One issue which has been raised recently but has attracted relatively limited scientific attention is the consideration of uncertainty in risk diagrams, i.e. how to visually represent and communicate uncertainty. This paper first reviews the available proposals for this question. Subsequently, the strengths and weaknesses of these proposals are discussed. Finally, some new proposals are made on how to represent uncertainty in risk diagrams in practical applications. (C) 2015 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
机译：风险矩阵和风险图是在许多行业中用于分析，评估和可视化风险的广泛使用的工具，并且广泛用于风险管理目的。尽管它们受到广泛欢迎和广泛应用，但它们最近已成为科学环境中讨论和研究的对象，可以将其视为风险分析学科中对基础问题的更广泛关注的一部分。为了确定风险矩阵方法的几个严重局限性和问题，许多作者提出了扩展，修改和使用建议。最近提出但受到相对有限的科学关注的一个问题是风险图中不确定性的考虑，即如何以视觉方式表示和传达不确定性。本文首先回顾了有关该问题的可用建议。随后，讨论了这些建议的优缺点。最后，就如何在实际应用中表示风险图中的不确定性提出了一些新的建议。 （C）2015 Elsevier Ltd.保留所有权利。

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