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Price Prospects for Selected Oils and Fats in 2005

机译：2005年部分油脂的价格前景

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摘要

This report analyses the performances of prices of selected oils and fats, namely, RBD palm olein, soyabean oil, cottonseed oil, lauric oils (palm kernel oil and coconut oil), RBD palm stearin and tallow in the past few years and their prospects in 2005. Based on their performances from 2000 to 2004, the prices of the first two products (olein and soyabean oil) increased at decreasing rates (Table 1). In 2002, the prices of olein and soyabean oil grew at 34.4% and 28%, respectively, from 2001 whereasthe growths in 2004 from 2003 were reduced to 4.3% for olein and 11.2% for soyabean oil. A similar scenario can be observed for the prices of RBD palm stearin and tallow with each indicating smaller increases of about 9.8% and 0.4% respectively, in 2004from the previous year. Conversely, a poor performance was shown by cottonseed oil which price in 2004 was USD 685 t1 compared to a much higher price in 2003 of USD 894.7 t1, a considerable decrease of 23.5%. Lower production of cottonseed oil in 2003 pushed up its price and higher production in 2004 pulled down its price. The prices of lauric oils, however, showed a different scenario as they rose significantly in 2004 by about 41 % for both palm kernel and coconut oils. Stiff competition between these two products that lead to increases in their prices indicated the growing demand from the oleochemicals industry. Therefore, in 2004, it can generally be said that all the prices accelerated but at different rates except for cottonseed oil.
机译：本报告分析了过去几年中精选的油脂（RBD棕榈油精，大豆油，棉籽油，月桂油（棕榈仁油和椰子油），RBD棕榈硬脂和牛脂的价格表现以及它们的前景）。 2005年。基于它们在2000年至2004年之间的表现，前两种产品（精油和豆油）的价格呈下降趋势（表1）。 2002年，油精和豆油的价格分别比2001年增长了34.4％和28％，而油精和豆油的价格分别从2003年的2003年的增幅下降到4.3％和11.2％。 2004年RBD棕榈硬脂和牛脂的价格也有类似情况，与上年相比，分别上涨了9.8％和0.4％。相反，棉籽油的表现不佳，2004年的价格为685美元/吨，而2003年的价格更高，为894.7美元/吨，下降了23.5％。 2003年棉籽油产量下降推动价格上涨，2004年棉籽油产量上升推动价格下降。但是，月桂油的价格则呈现出不同的情况，因为2004年棕榈仁和椰子油均大幅上涨了约41％。这两种产品之间的激烈竞争导致价格上涨，这表明油脂化工行业的需求在不断增长。因此，在2004年，通常可以说，除了棉籽油以外，所有价格都在加速上涨，但增长率却不同。

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