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Statistical mechanics of conventional traders may lead to non-conventional market behavior

机译:常规交易者的统计机制可能导致非常规市场行为

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We describe the main idea and the conceptual architecture of a platform for simulating a large number of asynchronously interacting agents in continuous time. We show how the generic capabilities of the platform apply to the simulation of realistic stock market interactions. A particular example of a very dramatic market event that took place in Financial Times Stock Exchange (FTSE) on September 20, 2002 is used to uncover the parameters characterizing the classical investor types within the market. The simple microscopic rules governing the individual agents behavior are shown to result in a collective market behavior similar to the one of a damped harmonic oscillator. Specifically, the aggregated influence of the fundamentalist traders is formally related to Hooke's law while the behavior of the trend followers corresponds to inertia and viscous friction forces. [References: 37]
机译:我们描述了在连续时间内模拟大量异步交互代理的平台的主要思想和概念架构。我们展示了该平台的通用功能如何应用于现实股票市场互动的模拟。 2002年9月20日在金融时报证券交易所(FTSE)发生的一个非常戏剧性的市场事件的特殊示例,用于揭示表征市场中传统投资者类型的参数。控制个体行为的简单微观规则显示出导致集体市场行为,类似于阻尼谐波振荡器。具体来说,原教旨主义交易者的总体影响与胡克定律正式相关,而趋势跟随者的行为则与惯性和粘性摩擦力相对应。 [参考:37]

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