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Forecasting Seasonals and Trends by Exponentially Weighted Moving Averages

机译：用指数加权移动平均线预测季节和趋势

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摘要

A new value of the average is obtained. merely by computing a weighted average of two variables, the value of the average from the last period and the current value of the variable. This paper utilizes these desirable properties both to smooth current randan fluctuations and to revise continuously seasonal and trend adjustments.

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作者
Charles C. Holt;
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年度 1957
页码 1-12
总页数 12
原文格式 PDF
正文语种 eng
中图分类工业技术;
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专利

1. Forecasting seasonals and trends by exponentially weighted moving averages [J] . Charles C. Holt Journal of Economic and Social Measurement . 2004,第1a3期

机译：通过指数加权移动平均值预测季节和趋势
2. Forecast of the trend in incidence of acute hemorrhagic conjunctivitis in China from 2011-2019 using the Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA) and Exponential Smoothing (ETS) models [J] . Industrial and organizational psychology . 2020,第2期

机译：2011 - 2019年中国急性出血性结膜炎发病率的趋势预测使用季节性自回归综合综合动平（Sarima）和指数平滑（ETS）模型
3. Forecast of the trend in incidence of acute hemorrhagic conjunctivitis in China from 2011–2019 using the Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA) and Exponential Smoothing (ETS) models [J] . Huan Liu, Chenxi Li, Yingqi Shao, Journal of infection and public health. . 2020,第2期

机译：2011 - 2019年中国急性出血性结膜炎发病率的趋势预测利用季节性自回归综合综合移动平均（Sarima）和指数平滑（ETS）模型
4. An Approach to Study on MA, ES, AR for Sunspot Number (SN) Prediction and to Forecast SN with Seasonal Variations Along with Trend Component of Time Series Analysis Using Moving Average (MA) and Exponential Smoothing (ES) [C] . Anika Tabassuni, Masud Rabbani, Saad Bin Omar International Conference in Advances in Electrical and Computer Technologies . 2019

机译：使用移动平均（MA）和指数平滑的时间变化的MA，ES，AR对Sunspot Number（Sn）预测的方法和季节性变化的趋势分量及指数平滑（ES）
5. The use of the moving average forecasting, linear trend forecasting, and exponential smoothing forecasting techniques in education. [D] . Ilsley, Peter Spencer. 2002

机译：在教育中使用移动平均线预测，线性趋势预测和指数平滑预测技术。
6. Exponentially weighted moving average—Moving average charts for monitoring the process mean [O] . Saowanit Sukparungsee, Yupaporn Areepong, Rattikarn Taboran 2020

机译：指数加权移动平均值-用于监控过程均值的移动平均值图表
7. Score-driven exponentially weighted moving averages and Value-at-Risk forecasting [O] . Lucas, A., Zhang, X. 2016

机译：分数驱动的指数加权移动平均值和风险价值预测

Forecasting Seasonals and Trends by Exponentially Weighted Moving Averages

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