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Central bank independence and conservatism under uncertainty: Substitutes or complements?

机译:不确定性下的央行独立性和保守性:替代品还是补充品?

摘要

The paper examines the optimal combination of central bank independence and conservatism in the presence of uncertain central bank preferences. We develop a model of endogenous monetary policy delegation in which government chooses the central bank's degree of inde-pendence and conservatism so as to minimise society's loss function. We find that the optimal combination between independence and conservatism is not necessarily characterised by substitutability. When uncertainty about the central bank's preferences is high, independence and conservatism can become complements. In this case, giving more independence to the central bank increases the need for conservatism.
机译:本文研究了存在不确定中央银行偏好的情况下中央银行独立性与保守主义的最佳组合。我们建立了一种内生的货币政策授权模型,在这种模型中,政府选择中央银行的独立程度和保守程度,以最小化社会的损失功能。我们发现,独立性与保守主义之间的最佳组合并不一定具有可替代性。当中央银行偏好的不确定性很高时,独立性和保守主义就会成为补充。在这种情况下,赋予中央银行更多的独立性会增加对保守主义的需求。

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