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If the Fed sneezes, who catches a cold?

机译:如果美联储打喷嚏,谁会感冒?

摘要

This paper studies the international spillovers of US monetary policy shocks on a number of macroeconomic and financial variables in 36 advanced and emerging economies. In most countries, a surprise US monetary tightening leads to depreciation against the dollar; industrial production and real GDP fall, unemployment rises. Inflation declines especially in advanced economies. At the same time, there is significant heterogeneity across countries in the response of asset prices, and portfolio and banking cross-border flows. However, no clear-cut systematic relation emerges between country responses and likely relevant country characteristics, such as their income level, dollar exchange rate flexibility, financial openness, trade openness vs. the US, dollar exposure in foreign assets and liabilities, and incidence of commodity exports.
机译:本文研究了美国货币政策冲击对36个发达经济体和新兴经济体中许多宏观经济和金融变量的国际溢出效应。在大多数国家,美国出人意料的货币紧缩政策导致美元兑美元贬值。工业生产和实际GDP下降,失业率上升。通货膨胀下降,特别是在发达经济体中。同时,在资产价格,投资组合和银行跨境流动的响应之间,各国之间存在很大的异质性。但是,在国家对策与可能的相关国家特征(例如收入水平,美元汇率灵活性,金融开放度,相对于美国的贸易开放度,美元在外国资产和负债中的敞口以及发生率)之间没有明确的系统关系。商品出口。

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