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From dollar peg to basket peg:the experience of Kuwait in view of the GCC monetary unification

机译:从美元钉住汇率制度到钉住汇率制度:科威特在海湾合作委员会货币统一方面的经验

摘要

In May 2007, Kuwait unilaterally abandoned the dollar peg, adopted in 2003 as a first step towards the monetary integration of GCC countries, to return to the previous basket peg system. The decision was motivated by the need to limit the inflationary pressures resulting from prolonged depreciation of the dollar against major currencies. Given the importance the anti-inflationary objective had in this choice, the work focuses on the peculiarities of Kuwait’s economy, justifying and reviewing the price dynamics in the light of re-pegging to the basket, in the belief that its composition has been affected by inflationary trends. To this end, an econometric model "Auto-Regressive Moving Average" is proposed to define the weights of currencies in the basket and the estimate shows that Euro’s has increased during the period, consistent with the goals against inflation. This is a particularly important to the future of the planned monetary union of the GCC countries, given the renewed commitment of Kuwait to be part of it, despite the existence of different exchange rate systems in force in other countries.
机译:2007年5月,科威特单方面放弃了2003年采取的美元钉住汇率制,这是迈向海湾合作委员会国家货币一体化的第一步,从而恢复了以前的一揽子钉住汇率制。该决定的动机是需要限制因美元兑主要货币长期贬值而导致的通货膨胀压力。考虑到反通胀目标在这一选择中的重要性,该工作着眼于科威特经济的特殊性,根据重新钉住篮子一事,对价格动态进行论证和审查,认为其构成受到了影响。通胀趋势。为此,提出了一个计量经济学模型“自回归移动平均线”来定义一揽子货币的权重,估计结果表明,在此期间,欧元的汇率已经上涨,与通货膨胀目标一致。鉴于科威特再次承诺加入海湾合作委员会国家,尽管其他国家实行了不同的汇率制度,这对海湾合作委员会国家计划中的货币联盟的未来尤为重要。

著录项

  • 作者

    Marzovilla Olga; Mele Marco;

  • 作者单位
  • 年度 2010
  • 总页数
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 {"code":"en","name":"English","id":9}
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