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TSUNAMI FORECAST METHOD USING NUMERICAL MODEL AND SCENARIO DATABASE

机译:基于数值模型和情景数据库的海啸预测方法

摘要

The present invention relates to a tsunami forecast method using a numerical model which can be named as a scientific interpolation for a natural disaster (SIND) to operate a numerical model by setting a reference point (10) in a sea area and assuming a virtual tidal wave under various conditions propagated from the reference point (10), to calculate only a simulation tsunami condition at the reference point (10) without performing a numerical simulation on the entire sea area and the entire terrestrial area when a tsunami actually occurs after building a boat swamped by waves in a terrestrial area calculated by each condition as a scenario database, and to extract the nearest boat swamped by waves from the scenario database by comparing the simulation tsunami condition with a virtual tidal wave condition or to interpolate the simulation tsunami condition to draw a boat swamped by waves as a method for drawing a forecast value based on previously built information without actually simulating a physical phenomenon for analyzing a natural disaster. According to the present invention, the method can predict flood damage to a target terrestrial area with considerable precision only by simulating a partial sea area without simulating the entire sea area and the entire territorial area, thereby promptly alerting and proactively responding to the tsunami when the tsunami occurs so as to reduce damage.
机译:本发明涉及使用数值模型的海啸预测方法,该数值模型可以被称为自然灾害的科学插值法(SIND),以通过在海域中设置参考点(10)并假设虚拟潮汐来操作数值模型。在从参考点(10)传播的各种条件下产生的海浪,仅计算参考点(10)处的模拟海啸条件,而在构建海啸后实际上发生海啸时不会对整个海域和整个陆地区域进行数值模拟。根据条件将每种海浪淹没的船只作为情景数据库,并通过将模拟海啸条件与虚拟潮汐条件进行比较,或将模拟海啸条件内插到海浪中,从情景数据库中提取最近的海浪淹没的船只。画一条被海浪淹没的船作为一种基于先前构建的信息绘制预测值的方法,而无需实际模拟确定自然现象以分析自然灾害。根据本发明,该方法仅通过模拟部分海域而不模拟整个海域和整个领海区域,就可以以相当高的精度预测洪水对目标陆地区域的破坏,从而在海啸发生时及时提醒并主动响应海啸。发生海啸以减少损害。

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