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Research on the Volatility Characteristics of Real Estate Segment Price Index in China's Stock Market with GARCH Models

机译:基于GARCH模型的中国股市房地产板块价格指数波动特征研究

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Real estate market segment is an important section in stock market. It is very helpful in market regulation and investment decision to analyze the laws and characteristics of variation of real estate segment price index. In this paper the principle of GARCH family models is introduced. Then the volatility of real estate segment price index is analyzed with the GARCH, TARCH, EGARCH models. The data consists of Shenzhen and Shanghai stock market close price index from Oct 8, 2003 to May 28, 2009. The GARCH family models are constructed to reveal the dynamic characteristics of the real estate segment price index in stock market. The comparison analysis among volatility characteristics of the real estate segment price index, the Shanghai Composite Index, the Shenzhen composition index are taken..
机译:房地产市场领域是股票市场的重要部分。分析房地产板块价格指数的变化规律和特征,对市场调控和投资决策有很大帮助。本文介绍了GARCH族模型的原理。然后利用GARCH,TARCH,EGARCH模型对房地产板块价格指数的波动性进行了分析。该数据包括2003年10月8日至2009年5月28日的深圳和上海股市收盘价格指数。构建了GARCH族模型,以揭示股市中房地产板块价格指数的动态特征。对房地产板块价格指数,上证综合指数,深证组成指数的波动特征进行了比较分析。

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