• 主题
高级搜索  >
历史搜索 清空历史
首页> 外文会议>World environmental and water resources congress >Seasonal Hydrologic Forecasts in Multi-Objective Water Resources Management: Safeguards against Forecast Failure
【24h】

Seasonal Hydrologic Forecasts in Multi-Objective Water Resources Management: Safeguards against Forecast Failure

机译：多目标水资源管理中的季节性水文预报：预防预报失败的保障

获取原文
页面导航
  • 摘要
  • 著录项
  • 相似文献
  • 相关主题

摘要

In this study, a framework is proposed to inform reservoir operating policies with seasonal forecasts while also providing a safeguard against forecast failure. A case study is presented on the Westfield River in the Connecticut River Basin. Teleconnections with the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and North Atlantic sea surface temperature anomalies (SSTAs) are used to develop seasonal forecasts of drought risk, which are then used to shift reservoir operating policies to optimize performance. Two reservoir objectives, water supply and hydropower production, are considered in this study. Hydroclimate forecasts are used to shift current drought severity levels used by operators to manage the system. Water releases for hydropower production are then altered to coincide with these drought severity levels and maximize income while minimizing the risk of over-allocation. Drought management strategies, including water transfers and restrictions, are also utilized in an adaptive framework to mitigate the negative consequences of altered operations stemming from failed forecasts.
机译：在这项研究中，提出了一个框架，用于通知水库经营政策，同时还提供防止预测失败的保障措施。康涅狄格河流域韦斯特菲尔德河上的案例研究。与北大西洋振荡（NAO）和北大西洋海表面温度异常（SSTA）的遥控器用于开发干旱风险的季节性预测，然后用于转移水库操作政策以优化性能。这项研究中考虑了两个水库目的，供水和水电生产。水池预测用于移位运营商使用的当前干旱严重程度来管理系统。然后改变水电站的水释放以与这些干旱严重程度水平重合，并最大限度地提高收入，同时最大限度地减少过度分配的风险。干旱管理策略，包括水转移和限制，也用于适应性框架，以减轻因失败预测失败的改变的运营的负面后果。

著录项

相似文献

  • 外文文献
  • 中文文献
  • 专利
获取原文

客服邮箱：kefu@zhangqiaokeyan.com

京公网安备：11010802029741号 ICP备案号：京ICP备15016152号-6 六维联合信息科技 (北京) 有限公司©版权所有

  • 客服微信

  • 服务号