Threshold 21-USA: Behavior Description

机译：阈值21-USA：行为描述

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We've learned that the forecasts have been wrong for a hundred years… (these forecasts) miss out on the fundamental dynamics of markets and technology."John Felmy, Chief Economist at the American Petroleum Institute (2005)"The EIA forecasts of Saudi Arabia production are based on the projected needs of energy consumers. The figures simply assumed that Saudi Arabia would be able to produce whatever the United States needed it to produce."

机译：我们已经了解到，预测已经出错了一百年......（这些预测）错过了市场和技术的基本动态。“美国石油研究所的首席经济学家John Felmy（2005年）”沙特阿联预测“阿拉伯生产基于能源消费者的预计需求。这些数字证明沙特阿拉伯能够生产任何美国需要生产的东西。“

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《System Dynamics Society International Conference》|2007年||共30页
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Andrea M. Bassi;
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中图分类系统动力学;
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Threshold 21-USA: Behavior Description

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