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Surrogate-Based Prediction and Optimization of Multilateral ICV FlowPerformance in a Real Field

机译:基于代理的实场多边ICV流量表态的预测与优化

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Smart completions enable physical measurements over space and time,which provides large volumes ofinformation at unprecedented rates.However,optimizing inflow control valve(ICV)settings of smartmultilateral wells is a challenging task.Traditionally,ICV field tests,evaluating well performance atdifferent ICV settings,are conducted to observe flow behavior and configure ICV's,however this is oftensuboptimal.This study investigated a surrogate-based optimization algorithm that minimizes the numberof ICV field tests required,predicts well performance of all unseen combination of ICV settings,anddetermines the optimal ICV setting and net present value(NPV).A numerical model of a real offshore field in Saudi Arabia was used to generate scenarios involvinga two-phase(oil and water)reservoir with trilateral producers.Multiple scenarios were examined withvariations in design parameters,mainly well count,placement and configuration.Eight discrete settingswere assumed to match the commonly installed ICV technology,where all possible scenarios were simulatedto establish ground truth.The investigation considered three major algorithmic components:sampling,machine learning,and optimization.The sampling strategy compared physics-based initialization,space-filling sampling,and triangulation-based adaptive sampling.A cross-validated neural network was used tofit a surrogate dynamically,while enumeration was adopted for optimization to avoid errors arising fromusing common optimizers.This study evaluated two sampling techniques:space-filling and adaptive sampling.The latter was foundsuperior in capturing reservoir behavior with the smallest number of simulation runs,i.e.ICV field tests.Algorithm performance was evaluated based on the number of ICV field tests required to:1)surpass anR2 threshold of 0.9 on all unseen scenarios,and 2)match the optimal ICV settings and NPV.Surface anddownhole flow profile prediction and optimization were achieved successfully using this approach.Todetermine the diminishing value of additional ICV field tests,the triangulation sampling loss was used as astoppage criterion.When running the algorithm on a single producer for both surface and downhole oil andwater flow prediction,the algorithm required six and 11 ICV field tests only to achieve 80% and 90% R2across the different cases of this real reservoir model.Fishbone wellbore configurations were found to posea more challenging task as changes in any ICV pressure drop affects multiple laterals simultaneously,whichincreases the level of interdependence.The resultant surrogate was used to decide on the optimal settings of ICV devices and also predict the NPV effectively.Further improvement was accomplished throughadaptively sampling and fitting surrogate to rather predict NPV explicitly where NPV predictions weregenerated with nearly 95% R2 given only ten ICV field tests.Using adaptive sampling and machine learning proved effective in the prediction of surface and downholeflow profiles,and optimization of smart wells.The method further allows for dynamically optimizing fieldstrategy in a reinforcement learning setting where production data are used continuously to further improvethe prediction performance.
机译:Smart完成使得在空间和时间上实现物理测量,这提供了以前所未有的速率提供大量的信息。但是,优化流入控制阀(ICV)SmartMultilantal Wells的设置是一个具有挑战性的任务。,ICV现场测试,评估井性能ATDifferent ICV设置,被进行以观察流动行为并配置ICV,但这是oftensuboptimal.This研究调查了一种基于代理的优化算法,可以最大限度地减少所需的ICV现场测试的数量,预测所有看不见的ICV设置的性能,并确定了最佳ICV设置和净现值(NPV)。沙特阿拉伯的真正离岸领域的数值模型用于产生与三边生产商的两阶段(石油)水库的情景。在设计参数中,检查了在设计参数中的循环中的多样化情景,主要是核心计算,展示位置和configuration.eight Scrotete Settingswere假设匹配通常的安装LED ICV技术,其中所有可能的场景都是模拟建立地面真理。调查考虑了三个主要算法组件:采样,机器学习和优化。采样策略比较了基于物理的初始化,空间填充采样和基于三角剖分的自适应采样.A交叉验证的神经网络动态使用替代,而采用枚举进行了优化以避免归属于普通优化器产生的错误。本研究评估了两种采样技术:空间填充和自适应采样。在捕获储层行为中,后者是捕获水库行为的影响利用最小数量的模拟运行,IEICv现场测试。基于所需的ICV现场测试的数量评估:1)超越所有看不见场景的ANR2阈值,2)符合最佳ICV设置和NPV使用这种方法成功实现了urface anddownhole流程预测和优化.TODETER挖掘额外的ICV现场测试的递减值,三角测量采样损失用作氧化品标准。在为表面和井下油和水流预测的单个生产者上运行算法时,该算法仅需要六个和11个ICV现场测试80%和90%的R2Across这个真正的水库模型的不同情况。发现POSEA的Posea更具挑战性的任务,因为任何ICV压降的变化同时影响多个侧向,这增加了相互依赖的水平。所得到的代理用于决定在ICV器件的最佳环境中,也有效地预测了NPV。通过基于近95%R2的NPV预测来实现替代的替代品,替代预测NPV,以近95%R2为特定的ICV现场试验而拟合替代,以获得近95%R2的替代。证明了在表面和令人厌恶的曲线预测中有效和智能阱的优化。该方法还允许在钢筋学习设置中进行动态优化现场练习,其中生产数据是连续使用的,以进一步提高预测性能。

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