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Evaluation of Water Resources Carrying Capacity in Shandong Province Based on Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation

机译:基于模糊综合评价的山东省水资源承载力评价

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Water resources carrying capacity is the maximum available water resources supporting by the social and economic development. Based on investigating and statisticing on the current situation of water resources in Shandong Province, this paper selects 13 factors including per capita water resources, water resources utilization, water supply modulus, rainfall, per capita GDP, population density, per capita water consumption, water consumption per million yuan, The water consumption of industrial output value, the agricultural output value of farmland, the irrigation rate of cultivated land, the water consumption rate of ecological environment and the forest coverage rate were used as the evaluation factors. Then, the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model was used to analyze the water resources carrying capacity Force status evaluation. The results showed : The comprehensive evaluation results of water resources in Shandong Province were lower than 0.6 in 2001-2009 and higher than 0.6 in 2010-2015, which indicating that the water resources carrying capacity of Shandong Province has been improved.; In addition, most of the years a value of less than 0.6, individual years below 0.4, the interannual changes are relatively large, from that we can see the level of water resources is generally weak, the greater the interannual changes in Shandong Province.
机译:水资源承载力是最大可用水资源的社会和经济发展的支持。基于调查和statisticing水资源山东省的现状,本文选取了13个因素,包括人均水资源量,水资源利用率,供水模数,雨量充沛,人均GDP,人口密度大,人均用水量,水每百万元消费,工业产值的用水量,耕地农业产值,耕地灌溉率,生态环境用水率和森林覆盖率分别作为评价因子。然后,模糊综合评价模型来分析承载能力受力状况评价的水资源。结果表明:山东省水资源综合评价结果在2001-2009均低于0.6,高于0.6 2010- 2015年,这表明携带山东省的水资源承载力进行了改进;此外,小于0.6,个别年份低于0.4绝大多数年份的值,则际变化也比较大,从我们看到水资源的水平普遍较弱,较大的山东省际变化。

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