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首页> 外文会议>Tenth International Conference on Modelling, Monitoring and Management of Air Pollution Jul, 2002 City of Segovia >Economic impact modules for the EUROS model
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Economic impact modules for the EUROS model

机译：EUROS模型的经济影响模块

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摘要

EUROS is a European atmospheric dispersion model calculating ozone concentrations as a function of NOx and NMVOC (non-methane volatile organic compounds) emissions and meteorological and geographical data. In this paper we will present a module for evaluation of costs and benefits of emission reduction scenarios and hence of emission reduction policy measures. The data in the module can be located with high geographical detail and can be linked with reduction measures. This link and cost calculation is possible because of the technological and economical data available. 85% of the NOx and 65% of the NMVOC emissions from stationary resources in Belgium were identified in the model and can be linked with reduction technologies. Different scenarios were worked out. Even under maximum reduction the NEC emission ceilings for NMVOC could not be reached. This underlines the importance of a detailed bottom-up approach. EUROS calculated ozone concentrations for different scenarios and locations in Belgium. For the calculation of the benefits, the concentrations are linked with regional data. The cost-benefit analysis indicated that maximum reduction was not profitable for ozone reduction. But indirect benefits are important and equal to costs for NOx reduction. Since foreign emissions were kept constant in this project, it can be concluded that ozone reduction in Belgium is strongly dependent on emission reduction abroad. The combination of EUROS and cost-benefit modules allows quantification and balancing measures and impacts, taking into account geographical location. Further research taking into account foreign countries can lead to interesting conclusions.
机译：EUROS是一种欧洲大气弥散模型，可计算臭氧浓度与NOx和NMVOC（非甲烷挥发性有机化合物）的排放量以及气象和地理数据的关系。在本文中，我们将提供一个模块，用于评估减排情景的成本和收益，以及由此得出的减排政策措施。该模块中的数据可以位于具有较高地理详细信息的位置，并且可以与减少措施链接。由于可用的技术和经济数据，因此可以进行此链接和成本计算。该模型确定了比利时固定资源中的NOx排放量的85％和NMVOC排放量的65％，可以与减排技术联系起来。制定了不同的方案。即使最大程度地减少排放量，也无法达到NMVOC的NEC排放上限。这强调了详细的自下而上方法的重要性。 EUROS计算了比利时不同情景和地点的臭氧浓度。为了计算收益，将浓度与区域数据联系起来。成本效益分析表明，最大的减少量对减少臭氧层没有好处。但是间接收益很重要，等于减少NOx的成本。由于该项目中的外国排放量保持恒定，因此可以得出结论，比利时的臭氧减排量在很大程度上取决于国外的减排量。 EUROS和成本效益模块的结合可实现量化，平衡措施和影响，同时考虑地理位置。考虑到外国的进一步研究可以得出有趣的结论。

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