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Discrete time stochastic volatility model.

机译:离散时间随机波动率模型。

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摘要

In this dissertation we propose a new model which captures observed features of asset prices. The model reproduces the skewness and fat tails of asset returns by introducing a discretized variance gamma process as the driving innovation process, in addition to a double gamma process to reflect the stochastic nature of volatility coefficients. The leverage effect between returns and volatilities is built in by a polynomial function describing the relationship between these two variables. One application of this model is to price volatility contracts whose payoffs depend on realized variance or volatility. Because of the scarcity of market quotes and consequent unavailability of risk neutral calibration, we propose a new scheme of pricing based on the model estimated from historical data. The estimation of the model parameters is carried out by maximizing likelihood function, which is calculated through a combination of Expectation-Maximization and Particle Filter algorithm. The resulting distribution is transformed by concave distortions, the extent of which reflects the risk aversion level of market.
机译:在本文中,我们提出了一个新的模型,该模型捕获了资产价格的观察特征。该模型通过引入离散的方差伽玛过程作为驱动创新过程,并通过双重伽玛过程来反映波动系数的随机性质,从而再现了资产收益率的偏度和胖尾巴。收益率和波动率之间的杠杆效应是通过描述这两个变量之间关系的多项式函数建立的。此模型的一种应用是对价格波动性合约进行定价,其收益取决于实现的方差或波动性。由于市场报价的稀缺性以及随之而来的风险中立校准的不可用,我们基于从历史数据估计的模型提出了一种新的定价方案。模型参数的估计是通过将似然函数最大化来实现的,该函数是通过期望最大化和粒子滤波算法的组合来计算的。最终的分布由凹形扭曲转化,凹形扭曲的程度反映了市场的风险规避水平。

著录项

  • 作者

    Tang, Guojing.;

  • 作者单位

    University of Maryland, College Park.;

  • 授予单位 University of Maryland, College Park.;
  • 学科 Mathematics.;Statistics.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2009
  • 页码 99 p.
  • 总页数 99
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类 数学;统计学;
  • 关键词

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