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Assessing flight safety differences between the United States regional and major airlines.

机译:评估美国地区航空公司和主要航空公司之间的飞行安全差异。

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摘要

During 2008, the U.S. domestic airline departures exceeded 28,000 flights per day. Thirty-nine or less than 0.2 of 1% of these flights resulted in operational incidents or accidents. However, even a low percentage of airline accidents and incidents continue to cause human suffering and property loss. The charge of this study was the comparison of U.S. major and regional airline safety histories. The study spans safety events from January 1982 through December 2008. In this quantitative analysis, domestic major and regional airlines were statistically tested for their flight safety differences. Four major airlines and thirty-seven regional airlines qualified for the safety study which compared the airline groups' fatal accidents, incidents, non-fatal accidents, pilot errors, and the remaining six safety event probable cause types. The six other probable cause types are mechanical failure, weather, air traffic control, maintenance, other, and unknown causes. The National Transportation Safety Board investigated each airline safety event, and assigned a probable cause to each event. A sample of 500 events was randomly selected from the 1,391 airlines' accident and incident population. The airline groups' safety event probabilities were estimated using the least squares linear regression. A probability significance level of 5% was chosen to conclude the appropriate research question hypothesis. The airline fatal accidents and incidents probability levels were 1.2% and 0.05% respectively. These two research questions did not reach the 5% significance level threshold. Therefore, the airline groups' fatal accidents and non-destructive incidents probabilities favored the airline groups' safety differences hypothesis. The linear progression estimates for the remaining three research questions were 71.5% for non-fatal accidents, 21.8% for the pilot errors, and 7.4% significance level for the six probable causes. These research questions' linear regressions are greater than the 5% level. Consequently, these three research questions favored airline groups' safety similarities hypothesis. The study indicates the U.S. domestic major airlines were safer than the regional airlines. Ideas for potential airline safety progress can examine pilot fatigue, the airline groups' hiring policies, the government's airline oversight personnel, or the comparison of individual airline's operational policies.
机译:在2008年期间,美国国内航空公司的航班起飞每天超过28,000个航班。这些航班中有39%或少于0.2%的航班导致了运营事故或事故。但是,即使是很小比例的航空事故和事件仍继续造成人员伤亡和财产损失。这项研究的职责是比较美国主要和地区航空公司的安全历史。该研究涵盖了从1982年1月到2008年12月的安全事件。在此定量分析中,对国内主要和支线航空公司的飞行安全差异进行了统计检验。有四家主要航空公司和三十七家支线航空公司通过了安全性研究,他们比较了航空公司集团的致命事故,事故,非致命事故,飞行员错误以及其余六种安全事件可能的原因类型。其他六种可能的原因类型是机械故障,天气,空中交通管制,维护,其他未知原因。国家运输安全委员会调查了每个航空公司的安全事件,并为每个事件指定了可能的原因。从1,391家航空公司的事故和事件人口中随机抽取了500个事件的样本。使用最小二乘线性回归估计航空公司集团的安全事件概率。选择5%的概率显着性水平以得出适当的研究问题假设。航空公司的致命事故和事故发生概率分别为1.2%和0.05%。这两个研究问题均未达到5%的显着性水平阈值。因此,航空公司集团的致命事故和非破坏性事件概率更倾向于航空公司集团的安全差异假设。其余三个研究问题的线性进展估计值分别为:非致命事故为71.5%,飞行员失误为21.8%,六个可能原因的显着性水平为7.4%。这些研究问题的线性回归大于5%的水平。因此,这三个研究问题有利于航空公司集团的安全相似性假设。研究表明,美国国内主要航空公司比地区航空公司更安全。有关潜在的航空公司安全进步的想法可以检查飞行员的疲劳程度,航空公司集团的雇用政策,政府的航空公司监督人员或各个航空公司运营政策的比较。

著录项

  • 作者

    Sharp, Broderick H.;

  • 作者单位

    Northcentral University.;

  • 授予单位 Northcentral University.;
  • 学科 Business Administration Management.Transportation.Meteorology.Engineering Aerospace.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2009
  • 页码 135 p.
  • 总页数 135
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

  • 入库时间 2022-08-17 11:38:28

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