首页> 中文期刊> 《南方经济》 >中国新型城镇化质量评价指标体系构建及评价方法——基于2003-2014年31个省市的空间差异研究

中国新型城镇化质量评价指标体系构建及评价方法——基于2003-2014年31个省市的空间差异研究

         

摘要

On the basis of defining the connotation of quality and efficiency of new-pattern urbanization, this paper constructs the evaluation index system for quality of new-pattern urbanization containing 34 indicators from three perspectives, that is, quality of urban development, propulsive efficiency of urbanization and coordination degree of urbanization. With combination of information entropy method and analytic hierarchy process method, this paper makes comprehensive evaluation of the level of the quality and efficiency of urbanization of 31 provinces (cities) in China during 2003 to 2014. Results show that quality of urbanization as a whole is not high and there exists distinct gap among provincial urbanization quality. Elements of quality of urbanization develop unevenly within provinces. Quality of urbanization presents obvious feature of spatial differences and is in descending order from eastern coastal region to central region then to western region. Population urbanization rate cannot reflect the quality of the development of urbanization. According to the calculation results, in comparison to the national level of population urbanization rate and quality index of new-pattern urbanization, all the provinces (cities) can be classified into four distinctive types, namely, "high-high" type, "low-high" type, "low-low" type and "high-low" type. Based on the features the degree of coordination between urbanization rate and quality index of urbanization of individual province (city) presents, provinces (cities) can be classified into the type of quality lagging behind urbanization speed, the type of coordination and the type with quality developing ahead of urbanization speed, which is closely related to the regional population migration law. Based on the unbalanced feature of quality of urbanization, this paper puts forward strategies distinctive types of regions are supposed to follow: "High-high" type should focus on the sustainable development of urbanization;"low-high" type should focus on institutional innovation;"low-low" type should speed up the pace of new industrialization;"high-low" type are supposed to focus on the social and ecological effects of urbanization in order to achieve a leap from quantitative change to qualitative change.%文章从城镇自身发展质量、城镇化推进效率和城镇化协调程度三个方面,构建了包含34项指标的新型城镇化质量评价指标体系,运用熵值法与层次分析法相结合的方法,对中国31个省市2003-2014年的城镇化质量与效率水平进行了综合评价.研究发现我国新型城镇化质量整体不高,省域之间城镇化质量差距明显,省域内部城镇化质量各要素发展不均衡;城镇化质量空间差异明显,呈现从东部沿海向中、西部依次递减的特征;城镇化率不能反映城镇化发展质量.根据测算结果,我国各省域整体城镇化率和新型城镇化质量指数呈现"高-高"、"低-高"、"低-低"和"高-低"四种类型,其自身城镇化率和城镇化质量指数之间的协调程度分为质量滞后、协调和质量超前3种类型, 这与区域间人口迁移流动规律密切相关.根据城镇化质量不均衡状况,文章提出"高-高"型区域关注城镇化可持续发展、"低-高"型区域重点在体制机制创新、"低-低"型区域加快新型工业化步伐、"高-低"型区域关注城镇化的社会、生态效应以实现量变到质变的对策建议.

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