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Spatiotemporal Evolution of Global Greenhouse Gas Emissions Transferring via Trade: Influencing Factors and Policy Implications

机译:通过贸易转移全球温室气体排放的时空演变:影响因素和政策影响

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摘要

Global climate change caused by greenhouse gas emissions (GHGs) from anthropogenic activities have already become the focus of the world. A more systematic and comprehensive analysis on the factors influencing the changes of global GHGs transferring via trade have not been fully discussed. To this end, employing spatial econometric regression models and multi-regional input-output models, this paper reveals factors influencing the GHGs transferring via trade changes in 39 major economies, so as to develop the relevant GHGs reduction policies. The results indicate that regions with the highest net outflow of GHGs transferring via trade are primarily Russia and Canada, and the adverse effects of promoting GHGs reduction on the national economy could be avoided by these regions owing to trade relations. Additionally, factors influencing the changes in GHGs transferring via trade have significant spatial autocorrelation, and population size and energy structure exert significant spatial spillover effects on the changes in the GHGs transferring via trade. On this basis, this paper suggests that one more effective way to prevent trade from the rigorous demands of environmental governance measures while preserving the economic benefits of international trade may be to facilitate cooperation between countries on GHGs mitigation. Further, we articulate more balanced environment governance policies, including conducting the sharing of advanced energy technologies and developing clearer production technologies.
机译:由人为活动的温室气体排放(GHG)引起的全球气候变化已经成为世界的重点。对影响全球GHGS变化通过贸易转移的因素进行更系统和全面的分析,尚未得到充分讨论。为此,采用空间计量回归模型和多区域输入输出模型,揭示了影响通过贸易变化转移39个主要经济体的温室气体的因素,从而制定相关的温室气体减排政策。结果表明,通过贸易转让GHGS的最高净流出的地区主要是俄罗斯和加拿大,并且由于贸易关系,这些区域可以避免促进促进GHG的GHG对国民经济的不利影响。此外,影响通过贸易转移的温室气体变化的因素具有显着的空间自相关,人口大小和能量结构对通过贸易转移的GHGS转移的变化发挥了重大的空间溢出效应。在此基础上,本文表明,防止对环境治理措施的严格需求贸易的一个更有效的方法,同时保留了国际贸易的经济利益,可以促进各国对温室气体缓解的合作。此外,我们阐述了更加平衡的环境治理政策,包括开展先进的能源技术和开发更清晰的生产技术的共享。

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