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CEE's Weaker Telecoms Markets Set For Sluggish Post-Covid Growth

机译:Cee的弱势电信市场为缓慢的Covid增长而设定

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1. Some uplift to mature markets' Industry Rewards scores in Q321 is provided by adjustments to long-term mobile and broadband subscriber growth forecasts, with follow-through impacts on revenues per user (ARPUs), and mounting pressure for consolidation. 2. Eastern Europe is likely to recover slowly from the Covid-19 pandemic and may suffer further setbacks as vaccine rollouts are likely to be patchy and sluggish, leading to volatile macroeconomic growth. 3. There will be a limited reordering of the league table as more realistic growth prospects weigh on markets such as Poland and Russia, while smaller markets such as Estonia and North Macedonia benefit from a more bullish appraisal of their investment potential. The average Telecommunications Sector Risk/Reward Index (RRI) score for Central and Emerging Europe (CEE) improves by 0.3 points in this quarter's update, to reach 51.4 out of a potential 100 points. The extension of our 10-year forecast period to 2030 was the main driver of change in last quarter's update; this time, it is the finalisation of 2020 market data for late-reporting markets as well as the application of revised historical information for those markets where official data are hard to obtain or are slow to be published. There have also been some robust changes to Country Risks scores, where political and macroeconomic volatility continues to be observed.
机译:1.通过对长期移动和宽带用户增长预测的调整提供了一些提升到Q321中的行业奖励评分,并对每个用户(ARPU)的收入以及安装压力进行后续影响。 2.东欧可能会从Covid-19大流行中慢慢恢复,并且可能会遭受进一步的挫折,因为疫苗卷展览可能是斑块和缓慢的疫苗,导致挥发性宏观经济增长。 3.将联赛表将有限的重新排序,因为更现实的增长前景权衡波兰和俄罗斯等市场,而爱沙尼亚和北马其顿等较小的市场受益于其投资潜力的更加看涨评价。中央和新兴欧洲(CEE)的平均电信部门风险/奖励指数(RRI)得分在本季度的更新中提高了0.3分,达到51.4潜力100分。我们10年预测期至2030年的预测期限是上季度更新的变革的主要驱动因素;这一次,它是最终报告市场的2020个市场数据的最终确定,以及官方数据难以获得或正在出版的市场的那些市场的修订历史信息。对于国家风险分数也有一些强大的变化,其中政治和宏观经济波动率继续被观察到。

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