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Urban Africa's futures: perspectives and implications for agenda 2063

机译：非洲城市的未来：对2063年议程的看法和影响

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Purpose - The implications of Africa's growth and urbanisation are the subject of much interest and speculation, and are central to the vision of the African Union's Agenda 2063. The purpose of this paper is to compare the dominant perspectives on urban futures in Africa to emerging directions in futures and urban thinking, suggesting alternative policy approaches for Africa's urban agenda. Design/methodology/approach - The paper scans and sorts through how Africa's growth and urbanisation are being understood and framed by various futurists and other futures-commentators. It takes the form of a discussion of the issue of how, why and by whom a series of data points, trends and their implications are being computed and combined, and with what validity, so to inform policy and planning responses. Findings - The paper argues from its findings that futuring about urban Africa has been intense, but not particularly objective, neutral or even empirically grounded. Emerging directions in anticipation theorisation and experimental approaches such as "urban tinkering" are proposed as possibly offering alternative approaches to how nations and policymakers might think and act on urban Africa's futures. Originality/value - This original interrogation of which and how actors anticipate Africa's urban futures could be used to expand beyond the urban visions, assumptions and futuring conventions reflected in Africa's Agenda 2063, as well as processes advancing the global sustainable development goals and UNHabitat's new urban agenda.
机译：目的-非洲增长和城市化的影响是引起人们广泛关注和猜测的主题，对于非洲联盟2063年议程的构想至关重要。本文的目的是将非洲城市未来的主流观点与新兴方向进行比较。在未来和城市思维方面，为非洲的城市议程提出了替代性的政策方法。设计/方法/方法-该论文对各种未来主义者和其他未来评论家如何理解和构架非洲的增长和城市化进行了扫描和分类。它以以下形式讨论：如何，为什么以及由谁来计算和组合一系列数据点，趋势及其影响，以及其有效性，以便为政策和计划响应提供依据。调查结果-该论文从其调查结果中得出结论，对非洲城市的动乱一直是激烈的，但不是特别客观，中立甚至基于经验。提出了预期理论化和“城市修补”等实验方法的新兴方向，可能为各国和政策制定者如何思考和采取行动应对非洲城市的未来提供替代方法。原创性/价值-最初的审问方式以及参与者对非洲城市未来的预测方式，可以用来扩展到《非洲2063年议程》所反映的城市愿景，假设和未来公约，以及推进全球可持续发展目标和人居署新城市发展进程议程。

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