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Behaviour-based analysis of tourism demand in Egypt

机译:基于行为的埃及旅游需求分析

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Tourism demand is the total number of persons who travel, or wish to travel, to use tourists' facilities and services at places away from their places of work or residence. Analysis of tourism demand helps companies understand tourists' needs and improves their marketing strategies. Current research for predicting tourism demand is targeted at foreign countries, and the little research targeted at predicting tourism demand in Egypt is based on macro forecasting and not on understanding the collective behaviour of tourists. In this paper, we devise different granularities from tourist data that we collect and use these different granularities to provide different levels of demand prediction. We develop a hybrid prediction framework to analyse tourists' behaviour and infer behaviour rules. These rules will act as recommendations that help to understand tourists' behaviour and their needs, and define future policies regarding tourism in Egypt.
机译:旅游需求是旅行或希望旅行的,在工作或居住地点以外的地方使用游客的设施和服务的总人数。对旅游需求的分析有助于公司了解游客的需求并改善其营销策略。当前用于预测旅游需求的研究主要针对外国,而针对埃及的旅游需求预测的研究很少基于宏观预测,而不是基于对游客集体行为的理解。在本文中,我们从收集的游客数据中设计出不同的粒度,并使用这些不同的粒度来提供不同级别的需求预测。我们开发了一种混合预测框架来分析游客的行为并推断行为规则。这些规则将作为建议,帮助您了解游客的行为及其需求,并确定有关埃及旅游业的未来政策。

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