首页> 外文期刊>Journal of Cleaner Production >Flood control ability of river-type reservoirs using stochastic flood simulation and dynamic capacity flood regulation
【24h】

Flood control ability of river-type reservoirs using stochastic flood simulation and dynamic capacity flood regulation

机译:利用随机洪水仿真和动态容量洪水监管河流储层防洪能力

获取原文
获取原文并翻译 | 示例
       

摘要

The flood control ability of river-type reservoirs is greatly influenced by the inflow flood characteristics and the calculation of the dynamic capacity flood regulation. The current research on the flood control ability of large river-type reservoirs mainly uses a design inflow flood based on the enlargement of typical historical floods. This approach does not adequately consider the different forms of inflow floods and the flood regulation of dynamic capacity. To address this issue, the Three Gorges Reservoir (TGR) was used as a case study. Measured daily runoff data over a 60-year period from the Zhutuo, Beibei, and Wulong Hydrological Stations were used. A stochastic model of inflow floods for the TGR was established using the periodic stationary autoregressive method, which generated 4,000 stochastic inflow floods. A dynamic capacity flood regulation capacity model was used to simulate different inflow floods (the stochastic floods and the measured flood for 1954. The results were based on the 1,000-year flood, which was enlarged by the stochastic floods. The results show that, under the most dangerous inflow flood conditions, the maximum discharge at the Zhicheng Hydrological Station was 75,550 m(3)/s, which is 7,850 m(3)/s greater than the maximum discharge at Zhicheng for the 1954 flood. The results also showed that the probability of a more dangerous inflow flood than the 1954 flood occurring is 6.63%. This shows that it is not sufficient to calculate the flood control ability of river-type reservoirs using only historical flood measurements. In flood control design, it is necessary to use stochastic flood simulation methods to find the most dangerous inflow flood process of a reservoir at a specific design frequency, and to simulate the propagation of the flood in the reservoir through dynamic capacity flood regulation. These methods enable the flood control ability of large river-type reservoirs to be demonstrated. (C) 2020 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
机译:河流式储层的防洪能力受到流入洪水特性的影响和动态容量洪水调节的计算。目前关于大型河流型水库防洪能力的研究主要采用了基于典型历史洪水的扩大的设计流入洪水。这种方法没有充分考虑不同形式的流入洪水和动态能力的洪水调节。为了解决这个问题,三峡库(TGR)被用作案例研究。使用了从Zhutuo,Beibei和Wulong水文站的60年期间测量的每日径流数据。利用周期性静止自回归方法建立了TGR流入洪水的随机模型,其产生了4,000个随机流入洪水。动态容量洪水调节能力模型用于模拟不同的流入洪水(1954年随机洪水和测量洪水。结果基于1000年的洪水,随机洪水扩大。结果表明,最危险的流入洪水条件,志成水文站的最大放电为75,550米(3)/ s,比1954年洪城的最大放电大7,850米(3)/ s。结果也表明了比1954年洪水更危险的流入洪水的概率为6.63%。这表明仅使用历史洪水测量来计算河流储层的防洪能力是不够的。在防洪设计中,有必要使用随机洪水仿真方法以特定的设计频率找到储层最危险的流入洪水过程,并通过动力模拟水库中的洪水传播IC容量洪水调节。这些方法能够证明大型河流型水库的防洪能力。 (c)2020 elestvier有限公司保留所有权利。

著录项

相似文献

  • 外文文献
  • 中文文献
  • 专利
获取原文

客服邮箱:kefu@zhangqiaokeyan.com

京公网安备:11010802029741号 ICP备案号:京ICP备15016152号-6 六维联合信息科技 (北京) 有限公司©版权所有
  • 客服微信

  • 服务号