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Monthly pass-through ratios

机译:每月通过率

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摘要

This paper estimates monthly pass-through ratios from import prices to consumer prices in real time. Conventional time series methods impose restrictions to generate exogenous shocks on exchange rates or import prices when estimating pass-through coefficients. Instead, our estimation strategy follows an event-study approach based on monthly releases in import prices. Projections from a dynamic common factor model with daily panels before and after monthly releases of import prices define the innovation for import prices. We apply our identification procedure to Swiss prices and find strong evidence that the median of the monthly pass-through ratio is around 0.3. Tests show that standard assumptions of non-real time data and limited information breath are critical for the pass-through estimates.
机译:本文实时估计了从进口价格到消费者价格的月通过率。常规时间序列方法在估算传递系数时会施加限制,以对汇率或进口价格产生外来冲击。相反,我们的估算策略是基于事件研究方法,该方法基于每月进口价格的释放。来自动态公共因子模型的预测,包括在每月进口价格发布前后的每日面板,定义了进口价格的创新。我们将识别程序应用于瑞士价格,并发现有力的证据表明每月通过率的中位数约为0.3。测试表明,非实时数据和有限的信息呼吸的标准假设对于通过估算至关重要。

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