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Driving factors of equity bubbles

机译:股权泡沫的驱动因素

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摘要

We investigate the driving factors of equity bubbles by utilizing the panel Logit model and the dataset of 22 representative economies covering a period from 2000/Q1 to 2018/Q3. We find that the trading volume and the price volatility are the significantly positive driving factors of equity bubbles for the full sample as suggested by the bubble theories. We also find that monetary policy sheds a light on the determination of equity bubbles. Finally, the credit and its lag term play an important role in producing the equity bubbles. These baseline findings are confirmed by three robustness checks, which are conducted by alternating the bubbles identification strategy, considering the bubbles' persistence effect, and utilizing the BMA-Logit model respectively.
机译:我们通过利用面板Logit模型和22个代表经济体的数据集来调查股权泡沫的驱动因素,涵盖2000 / Q1至2018 / Q3的一段时间。我们发现交易量和价格波动是泡沫理论所建议的完整样本的股权泡沫的显着促销因素。我们还发现货币政策揭示了股权泡沫的确定。最后,信贷及其滞后期在制作股权泡沫方面发挥着重要作用。这些基线发现由三个稳健性检查确认,这是通过将气泡识别策略交替进行的,考虑到气泡的持久性效应,并分别利用BMA-Logit模型进行。

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