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首页> 外文期刊>Radiation Protection Dosimetry >PROBABILISTIC ACCIDENT CONSEQUENCE UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS OF THE EARLY HEALTH EFFECTS MODULE IN THE COSYMA PACKAGE
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PROBABILISTIC ACCIDENT CONSEQUENCE UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS OF THE EARLY HEALTH EFFECTS MODULE IN THE COSYMA PACKAGE

机译：Cosyma包中早期健康影响模块的概率事故后果不确定性分析

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摘要

The accuracy of models that are used to calculate the risk from early health effects due to exposure to a large dose of radiation from radioactive materials ahs been investigated. Early health effects are radiation diseases that occur within six weeks after the exposure. The present investigation provides data needed for subsequetn analysis of the accuracy of estimates of the risks from nuclear power plant accidents (accident conseuqnece assessments). By means of a formal expert elicitation procedure, for a limited number of exposure cases, a set of data has been obtained that quantifies the accuracy of risk estimates for early health effects. These data have been implemented in the generic models ofr calculating the risk and the accuracy of the calculated risk. These generic models are curretnly applied in accident consequence assessments.
机译：已经研究了用于计算由于暴露于放射性物质的大剂量辐射而造成的早期健康影响的风险的模型的准确性。早期健康影响是在暴露后六周内发生的辐射疾病。本次调查提供了子间隔分析所需的数据，以进行核电站事故风险估算的准确性（事故征候评估）。通过正式的专家引诱程序，对于数量有限的暴露病例，已获得了一组数据，这些数据量化了对早期健康影响的风险估计的准确性。这些数据已在计算风险的通用模型和所计算风险的准确性中实现。这些通用模型目前已应用于事故后果评估中。

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