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Model migrations: mobility and boundary crossings in regional climate prediction

机译:模型迁移:区域气候预测中的流动性和边界线

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The Hadley Centre's PRECIS regional climate modelling system has been designed to fulfil the informational requirements of adaptation and development planners in the 'global south'. Drawing on recent insights from science and technology studies and the geography of science concerning the mobility of scientific knowledge, this study investigates the institutional and discursive associations that enable the PRECIS modelling system to move between its UK birthplace and new sites of climate simulation. Document analysis and interviews with key personnel reveal the construction of regional climate modelling as an obligatory passage point for those seeking to adapt to future climates in developing countries. Furthermore, the operation of PRECIS across the boundaries of intersecting scientific and political worlds imbues the model with a level of epistemic power that has enabled the partial re-shaping of the global geographies of climate knowledge production. This new structuring of scientific practice is potentially empowering through the redistribution of climate modelling expertise, yet it may also contribute to the construction of climate prediction as a limit to adaptation. We argue that it furthers an epistemic hegemony that renders alternative 'ways of knowing' the climate either subordinate to or dependent upon the epistemic community centred on the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change and global governance mechanisms. The study illuminates the potential for geographers of science to make normative interventions in debates around the interplay of space, knowledge and power in contexts of environmental deliberation and governance.
机译:哈德利中心的PRECIS区域气候建模系统旨在满足“全球南部”适应和发展规划者的信息需求。这项研究利用科学和技术研究以及科学地理领域有关科学知识流动性的最新见解,研究了使PRECIS建模系统能够在其英国出生地和气候模拟新地点之间移动的制度和话语联系。文件分析和与主要人员的访谈显示,区域气候模型的构建是那些寻求适应发展中国家未来气候的人们的必经之地。此外,PRECIS在跨越科学和政治世界相交的边界上的运作使该模型具有一定的认识力,从而使全球气候知识生产地域的一部分得以重塑。这种新的科学实践结构可能通过重新分配气候建模专业知识来赋权,但它也可能有助于气候预测的构建,以适应气候变化。我们认为,这进一步加剧了认知霸权,使得以政府间气候变化专门委员会和全球治理机制为中心的替代性“了解”气候成为隶属或依赖于认知界的气候。该研究揭示了科学地理学家在环境审议和治理环境下围绕空间,知识和权力相互作用的辩论中进行规范性干预的潜力。

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