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首页> 外文期刊>The European physical journal: Special topics >Two hot to handle: How do we manage the simultaneous impacts of climate change and natural disasters on human health?
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Two hot to handle: How do we manage the simultaneous impacts of climate change and natural disasters on human health?

机译：有两个热点需要解决：我们如何应对气候变化和自然灾害对人类健康的同时影响？

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摘要

Climate change is one of the major challenges we face today. There is recognition alongside evidence that the health impacts of both climate change and natural disasters are significant and rising. The impacts of both are also complex and span well beyond health to include environmental, social, demographic, cultural, and economic aspects of human lives. Nonetheless integrated impact assessments are rare and so are system level approaches or systematic preparedness and adaptation strategies to brace the two simultaneously particularly in low and middle-income countries. Ironically the impacts of both climate change as well as natural disasters will be disproportionately borne by low emitters. Sufficiently large and long-term data from comprehensive weather, socio-economic, demographic and health observational systems are currently unavailable to guide adaptation strategies with the necessary precision. In the absence of these and given the uncertainties around the health impact projections alongside the geographic disparities even within the countries, the main question is how can countries then prepare to brace the unknown? We certainly cannot wait to obtain answers to all the questions before we plan solutions. Strengthening health systems is therefore a pragmatic "zero regrets" strategy and should be adopted hastily before the parallel impacts from climate change and associated extreme weather events (disasters thereof) become too hot to handle.
机译：气候变化是我们今天面临的主要挑战之一。除证据外，人们还认识到，气候变化和自然灾害对健康的影响是巨大的，而且还在不断增加。两者的影响也很复杂，远远超出健康范围，涵盖了人类生活的环境，社会，人口，文化和经济方面。但是，综合影响评估很少见，而系统水平的方法或系统的准备和适应战略却能同时支持两者，特别是在低收入和中等收入国家，这是很少的。具有讽刺意味的是，低排放者将不成比例地承担气候变化和自然灾害的影响。目前尚无法从综合天气，社会经济，人口统计和健康观察系统获得足够的大量长期数据来指导适应策略的必要精度。在没有这些因素的情况下，并且考虑到健康影响预测的不确定性以及国家内部甚至地理上的差异，主要问题是各国如何才能做好准备应对未知情况？在计划解决方案之前，我们当然迫不及待想要获得所有问题的答案。因此，加强卫生系统是一种务实的“零悔”策略，应在气候变化和相关极端天气事件（灾害）的并行影响变得过于棘手之前迅速采取行动。

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