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Decision Making in a Human Population Living Sustainably

机译：可持续生活人口的决策

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摘要

The Tiwi people of northern Australia have managed natural resources continuously for 6000-8000 years. Tiwi management objectives and outcomes may reflect how they gather information about the environment. We qualitatively analyzed Tiwi documents and management techniques to examine the relation between the social and physical environment of decision makers and their decision-making strategies. We hypothesized that principles of bounded rationality, namely, the use of efficient rules to navigate complex decision problems, explain how Tiwi managers use simple decision strategies (i.e., heuristics) to make robust decisions. Tiwi natural resource managers reduced complexity in decision making through a process that gathers incomplete and uncertain information to quickly guide decisions toward effective outcomes. They used management feedback to validate decisions through an information loop that resulted in long-term sustainability of environmental use. We examined the Tiwi decision-making processes relative to management of barramundi (Lates calcarifer) fisheries and contrasted their management with the state government's management of barramundi. Decisions that enhanced the status of individual people and their attainment of aspiration levels resulted in reliable resource availability for Tiwi consumers. Different decision processes adopted by the state for management of barramundi may not secure similarly sustainable outcomes.
机译：澳大利亚北部的提维人已连续6000-8000年管理自然资源。 Tiwi的管理目标和成果可能反映了他们如何收集有关环境的信息。我们对Tiwi文件和管理技术进行了定性分析，以研究决策者的社会和自然环境与其决策策略之间的关系。我们假设有限理性的原则，即使用有效规则来解决复杂的决策问题，解释了Tiwi经理如何使用简单的决策策略（即启发式）来做出可靠的决策。 Tiwi自然资源经理通过收集不完整和不确定的信息以快速指导决策以取得有效成果的过程，降低了决策的复杂性。他们使用管理反馈通过信息循环验证决策，从而实现环境使用的长期可持续性。我们研究了与帝汶（Lates calcarifer）渔业管理相关的提维决策过程，并将其管理与州政府对澳洲肺鱼的管理进行了对比。提高个人地位和实现愿望水平的决策为蒂维消费者提供了可靠的资源。国家对金枪鱼的管理采用的不同决策程序可能无法确保获得类似的可持续成果。

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