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Factors affecting Germany's green development over 1990-2015: a comprehensive environmental analysis

机译:影响德国绿色发展的因素于1990 - 2015年 - 2015年 - 全面的环境分析

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This study was aimed at providing a comprehensive environmental analysis of Germany from 1990 to 2015. First, an ecological footprint analysis of the country was conducted using bio-capacity and ecological footprint data. Second, possible decoupling of the country's economic growth and carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions was examined using the decoupling factor adopted by the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD). Third, the factors affecting aggregated and sector (electricity and heat production) emission changes were identified using the Logarithmic Mean Divisia Index (LMDI) method. The empirical findings revealed that Germany experienced a slowly decreasing ecological deficit over the entire period. The decoupling-factor calculations showed absolute decoupling of the country's real GDP and CO2 emissions. Based on the LMDI calculations, per capita income and population had increasing impacts on aggregated emissions, whereas energy intensity and carbon intensity curbed them substantially. For electricity and heat production, economic activity was the only CO2-accelerating factor observed in the study period. In addition, the fuel structure effect, pollution effect, and electricity intensity considerably reduced the emissions of electricity and heat production. It, therefore, is possible to conclude that Germany is an impressive example of environmental sustainability for other nations.
机译:本研究旨在提供1990年至2015年德国的综合环境分析。首先,使用生物能力和生态足迹数据进行了该国的生态足迹分析。其次,采用经济合作和发展(经合组织)采用的解耦因素检验该国经济增长和二氧化碳(二氧化碳)排放的可能解耦。第三,使用对数平均Divisia指数(LMDI)方法鉴定影响汇总和扇区(电力和热量生产)排放变化的因素。实证发现透露,德国在整个时期经历了缓慢降低的生态赤字。解耦因子计算显示该国真实GDP和二氧化碳排放的绝对去耦。基于LMDI计算,人均收入和人口对汇总排放的影响越来越大,而能量强度和碳强度大幅遏制它们。对于电力和热量生产,经济活动是研究期间唯一观察到的CO2加速因素。此外,燃料结构效果,污染效果和电力强度显着降低了电力和热量的排放。因此,它可以得出结论,德国是其他国家环境可持续性的令人印象深刻的例子。

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