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Combining scientific and stakeholder knowledge in future scenario development - A forest landscape case study in northern Sweden

机译：将科学知识和利益相关者的知识结合起来，用于未来的情景开发-瑞典北部的森林景观案例研究

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摘要

Northern Swedish forests provide multiple ecosystem services. Integrating these values into the forest planning process frequently requires that not only forest owners but also other stakeholders be involved. The objective of this study is to assess the potential of future scenario development as a tool in forest planning. In a case study of the Vilhelmina municipality in northern Sweden, forest owners and stakeholders were interviewed, and a workshop was held to discuss important factors for the future development of the local landscape regarding ecological, socioeconomic and political issues. Combined with a researcher-conducted process, this resulted in three alternative scenarios. We conclude that the scenario development process has produced information that can be used in forest planning. The participatory element of the scenario development process could be extended further to enhance communication, learning and knowledge exchange. The participants' contribution to the scenario construction could also be elaborated, e.g., by further involving stakeholders in the formulation of alternative future manifestations and in the elaboration of scenarios. To achieve this, it is necessary to adapt the quantitative methods to the participatory situation, to foster discussion qualities, to secure representation and increase motivation for participation in different ways. (C) 2015 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
机译：瑞典北部森林提供多种生态系统服务。将这些价值观整合到森林规划过程中常常不仅需要森林所有者，而且还需要其他利益相关者的参与。这项研究的目的是评估未来情景开发作为森林规划工具的潜力。在瑞典北部的维尔赫米纳市的案例研究中，采访了森林所有者和利益相关者，并举行了研讨会，讨论了有关生态，社会经济和政治问题的当地景观未来发展的重要因素。结合研究人员执行的过程，这导致了三种替代方案。我们得出结论，方案开发过程已产生可用于森林规划的信息。情景制定过程的参与要素可以进一步扩大，以加强交流，学习和知识交流。还可以例如通过使利益相关者进一步参与替代未来表现形式的制定和方案的制定，来详细阐述参与者对方案构建的贡献。为此，有必要使定量方法适应参与情况，以提高讨论质量，确保代表权并以不同方式增加参与的动力。 （C）2015 Elsevier B.V.保留所有权利。

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