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Rapid forecasting of tsunami runup heights from 2-D numerical simulations

机译:通过二维数值模拟快速预测海啸上升高度

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摘要

We propose a method to compute tsunami runup heights that is based on an integration of numerical, 2-D shallow-water modelling and an analytical, 1-D long-wave runup theory. This approach provides a faster forecast of tsunami runup heights than a complicated coastal inundation model. Through simulations of potential tsunami scenarios, this approach can also be applied to long-term tsunami prediction. We tested the model by simulating the historical event in the East (Japan) Sea and found that the estimates of runup heights agreed well with the available observations.
机译:我们提出了一种基于数值二维浅水建模和解析性一维长波扩展理论的海啸爬升高度计算方法。与复杂的沿海淹没模型相比,这种方法可以更快地预测海啸上升高度。通过对潜在海啸情景的模拟,该方法也可以应用于长期海啸预测。我们通过模拟东海(日本)海中的历史事件对模型进行了测试,发现上升高度的估计值与可用的观测值非常吻合。

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