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Joint state and parameter estimation with an iterative ensemble Kalman smoother

机译:迭代集成卡尔曼平滑器的联合状态和参数估计

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Both ensemble filtering and variational data assimilation methods have proven useful in the joint estimation of state variables and parameters of geophysical models. Yet, their respective benefits and drawbacks in this task are distinct. An ensemble variational method, known as the iterative ensemble Kalman smoother (IEnKS) has recently been introduced. It is based on an adjoint model-free variational, but flow-dependent, scheme. As such, the IEnKS is a candidate tool for joint state and parameter estimation that may inherit the benefits from both the ensemble filtering and variational approaches. In this study, an augmented state IEnKS is tested on its estimation of the forcing parameter of the Lorenz-95 model. Since joint state and parameter estimation is especially useful in applications where the forcings are uncertain but nevertheless determining, typically in atmospheric chemistry, the augmented state IEnKS is tested on a new low-order model that takes its meteorological.
机译:集成滤波和变异数据同化方法均已证明可用于联合估计状态变量和地球物理模型参数。但是,它们在此任务中各自的优缺点是截然不同的。最近引入了一种集合变分方法,称为迭代集合卡尔曼平滑器(IEnKS)。它基于无伴随模型的变分但与流量相关的方案。因此,IEnKS是用于联合状态和参数估计的候选工具,可以继承集成滤波和变分方法的优势。 在这项研究中,对增强状态IEnKS进行了评估,以评估Lorenz-95模型的强迫参数。由于联合状态和参数估计在强迫不确定但仍能确定的应用中特别有用,通常在大气化学中,因此,增强状态IEnKS在采用其气象学的新低阶模型上进行了测试。

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