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Welcome to the Joyless Newsprint Cycle

机译:欢迎来到无欢乐新闻纸周期

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摘要

This may go down in the history books as the first newsprint price cycle in which some of the most efficient producers in the industry failed to run full at any point in the cycle. It is becoming increasingly likely that suppliers should not expect any help from the demand side in tightening up the market. If that is the case, the only way the current up-cycle will continue into next year is if the newsprint companies take more downtime than they are today. As a result, profits over the cycle in thenewsprint sector may disappoint even as we begin to look down the road at the next pricing retrenchment, whenever that might be. And when prices do start downward again, the shock to an overleveraged industry may lead to additional restructuring.
机译:这可能在历史书籍中作为第一个新闻纸价格周期而下降,在该周期中,该行业中一些最高效的生产商在周期的任何时候都无法满负荷运转。供应商在紧缩市场方面不应期望需求方提供任何帮助的可能性越来越大。如果是这样,当前的升级周期将持续到明年的唯一方法是新闻纸公司的停机时间要比今天多。结果,即使我们开始在下一次价格紧缩的道路上望而却步,新闻纸行业整个周期的利润也可能令人失望。当价格再次开始下跌时,对过度杠杆化行业的冲击可能会导致其他重组。

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