Threshold 21-USA: Behavior Description

机译：阈值21-美国：行为描述

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We've learned that the forecasts have been wrong for a hundred years… (these forecasts) miss out on the fundamental dynamics of markets and technology."John Felmy, Chief Economist at the American Petroleum Institute (2005)"The EIA forecasts of Saudi Arabia production are based on the projected needs of energy consumers. The figures simply assumed that Saudi Arabia would be able to produce whatever the United States needed it to produce."

机译：我们已经知道一百年来的预测是错误的……（这些预测）错过了市场和技术的基本动力。”美国石油学会首席经济学家约翰·费尔米（John Felmy，2005年）“沙特阿拉伯的EIA预测阿拉伯的产量基于能源消费者的预计需求。这些数字只是假设沙特阿拉伯将能够生产美国所需要的任何产品。”

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来源
《System Dynamics Society International Conference; System Dynamics Society Anniversary Celebration; 20070729-0802; 20070729-0802; Boston,MA(US); Boston,MA(US)》|2007年|P.285-314|共30页
会议地点 BostonMA(US);BostonMA(US)
作者
Andrea M. Bassi;
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作者单位

Modeler, Millennium Institute;

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会议组织
原文格式 PDF
正文语种 eng
中图分类系统动力学;
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Threshold 21-USA: Behavior Description

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