ASSESSING THE PREDICTIVE POWER OF THE MULTIFACTORIAL MODELS OF THE BANKRUPTCY RISK

Nicoleta B?rbu??-Mi?u; Vasile Mazilescu

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ASSESSING THE PREDICTIVE POWER OF THE MULTIFACTORIAL MODELS OF THE BANKRUPTCY RISK

机译：评估破产风险多因素模型的预测力

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The bankruptcy prediction of the enterprises is a great interest issue, which has continued such attention to researchers and specialists for several decades. This paper evaluates the risk of bankruptcy of a sample of 20 enterprises acting in the construction sector in Romania, in 2008. The bankruptcy risk is evaluated using 4 models: 2 models very well-known at the international level - Altman model (1968) with 5 variables and Conan & Holder model (1979) - and 2 models created taking into account the specificity of the Romanian business environment: the A model (2000) and the model of determining the financial performance developed especially for features of the enterprises acting in the construction sector (2008). The aim of this paper is to find a link or match between predictive power of the most used multi-factorial models of bankruptcy risk, taking into account the period in which they were created, the specific characteristics of the economy and industry.

机译：企业的破产预测是一个很大的利益问题，几十年来一直引起研究人员和专家的关注。本文评估了2008年罗马尼亚20个从事建筑行业的企业样本的破产风险。该破产风险使用以下4种模型进行评估：2种在国际上非常知名的模型-Altman模型（1968年），其中包括5个变量和柯南与霍德（Conan＆Holder）模型（1979）-根据罗马尼亚商业环境的特殊性创建了2个模型：A模型（2000）和确定财务绩效的模型是专门针对从事该业务的企业的特征而开发的建筑部门（2008年）。本文的目的是找到最常用的多因素破产风险模型的预测能力之间的联系或匹配，同时考虑它们的创建时间，经济和行业的特定特征。

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《Risk Governance & Control: Financial Markets & Institutions》 |2011年第1期|共页
作者
Nicoleta B?rbu??-Mi?u; Vasile Mazilescu;
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1. ASSESSING THE PREDICTIVE POWER OF THE MULTIFACTORIAL MODELS OF THE BANKRUPTCY RISK [J] . Nicoleta B?rbu??-Mi?u, Vasile Mazilescu Risk Governance & Control: Financial Markets & Institutions . 2011,第1期

机译：评估破产风险多因素模型的预测力
2. IS THERE A TRADE-OFF BETWEEN THE PREDICTIVE POWER AND THE INTERPRETABILITY OF BANKRUPTCY MODELS? THE CASE OF THE FIRST HUNGARIAN BANKRUPTCY PREDICTION MODEL [J] . Miklos VIRAG, Tamas NYITRAI Acta Oeconomica: Periodical of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences . 2014,第4期

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ASSESSING THE PREDICTIVE POWER OF THE MULTIFACTORIAL MODELS OF THE BANKRUPTCY RISK

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