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Introduction: Challenges in Conducting Transatlantic Work on Sustainable Transport and the STELLA/STAR Initiative

机译：简介：进行跨大西洋可持续运输工作和STELLA / STAR计划的挑战

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In a recent article, England's Astronomer Royal gave mankind a 50% chance of surviving the 21st century. The possibility of pandemics sweeping away millions, the danger of weapons of mass destruction being unleashed, and the potential of severe climatic change inflicting irreparable damage on mankind were amongst the possible unattractive outcomes. Such pessimism (or perhaps optimism!), of course, is not new. There have probably been gloom-sayers since man could communicate, and there continue to be groups who predict the end of the world on some preordained day. News programmes regularly show such people converging on some desolate mountaintop or the other. Conventional scientists have not all absented themselves from these concerns. Malthus and his ideas of perpetual poverty and deprivation is perhaps the most renowned. But in recent history, a number of academics from the time of the British economist Jevons (who foresaw in the mid-19th century a massive energy crisis) to the Club of Rome - stirred by the work of the Forrester (1971), Meadows (1972) and others on the limits to economic growth - have exuded pessimism about the future.
机译：在最近的一篇文章中，英国的天文学家皇家（Royal天文学家）给人类提供了生存21世纪50％的机会。流行病可能席卷数百万人，释放大规模杀伤性武器的危险，以及严重的气候变化对人类造成无法弥补的破坏的可能性，这些都是可能的不利后果。这种悲观（或乐观！）当然不是新鲜事。自从人类可以交流以来，可能已经出现了使人沮丧的说法，并且仍然有一些团体在预定的某个日子预测世界的终结。新闻节目定期显示这些人会聚在一些荒凉的山顶或其他山顶上。传统的科学家并没有全部摆脱这些担忧。马尔萨斯及其关于永久贫困和剥夺的观念也许是最著名的。但是在最近的历史中，从英国经济学家杰文斯（Jevons）（他预见到19世纪中叶发生大规模能源危机）到罗马俱乐部的许多学者，都受到了Forrester（1971），Meadows（ 1972年）和其他对经济增长的限制-对未来充满了悲观情绪。

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