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首页> 外文期刊>Climatic Change >Climate change-related impacts in the San Diego region by 2050. (Special Issue: California second assessment: new climate change impact studies and implications for adaptation.)
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Climate change-related impacts in the San Diego region by 2050. (Special Issue: California second assessment: new climate change impact studies and implications for adaptation.)

机译：到2050年在圣地亚哥地区与气候变化相关的影响。（特刊：加利福尼亚第二次评估：新的气候变化影响研究及其对适应的影响。）

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This paper explores what the San Diego region may look like in the year 2050 as projected changes in regional climate conditions take place. Focusing on interrelated issues of climate change, sea level rise, population growth, land use, and changes in water, energy, public health, wildfires, biodiversity, and habitat, the paper reviews the potential impacts of a changing climate by 2050 and makes recommendations for changes in planning processes at the local and regional levels to prepare for these impacts. The original research for this study was completed in 2008 by a team of 40 experts from the region including universities, nonprofit organizations, local governments, public sector agencies and private sector entities. This paper has now been updated with more recent research regarding climate change adaptation while preserving the integrity of the original research team's work. The simulated impacts discussed in this study are based on regional projections of climate change generated by scientists at Scripps Institution of Oceanography, employing three climate models and two emissions scenarios used by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. The impacts are discussed in the context of significant regional growth expected during the period as well as an aging population base. Key issues explored in the report include potential inundation of six selected low-lying coastal areas in San Diego due to sea level rise, potential shortfalls in water deliveries, peak energy demand increases due to higher temperatures, growing risk of devastating wildfires, migrations of species in response to higher temperatures in an increasingly fragmented natural habitat, and public health issues associated with extreme temperature events.
机译：本文探讨了预计到2050年随着区域气候条件发生的变化，圣地亚哥地区的状况。着眼于气候变化，海平面上升，人口增长，土地利用以及水，能源，公共卫生，野火，生物多样性和栖息地变化等相关问题，本文回顾了到2050年气候变化的潜在影响并提出建议改变地方和地区一级的计划流程，以准备这些影响。该研究的原始研究于2008年由来自该地区的40名专家组成的团队完成，这些专家包括大学，非营利组织，地方政府，公共部门机构和私营部门实体。现在，本文已更新了有关气候变化适应性的最新研究，同时保持了原始研究团队工作的完整性。这项研究中讨论的模拟影响是基于斯克里普斯海洋学研究所的科学家根据政府间气候变化专门委员会使用的三种气候模型和两种排放情景生成的气候变化的区域预测。在此期间预期区域显着增长以及人口老化的背景下讨论了这些影响。报告中探讨的关键问题包括：由于海平面上升，圣地亚哥的六个低洼沿海地区可能被洪水淹没;供水量可能出现短缺;由于温度升高，能源需求峰值增加;毁灭性野火的风险增加;物种迁徙为应对日益分散的自然栖息地中的高温以及与极端温度事件相关的公共健康问题。

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